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| Tech Update Linux |
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Linux is ready for the long haul
Trouble for Windows
By CNET Enterprise
August 22, 2001

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A lot of enterprises already employ open source software. That continuing trend, says Forrester, could cost Microsoft a pretty penny in licensing revenues.
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Linux goes mainstream
Forrester sees Linux and open source software as the future of Internet-based software development. Even last year, 56 percent of large companies had some sort of open source software in-house, and that number is growing daily. We see three phenomena taking hold as Linux goes mainstream:
- A boom for hardware firms. Hardware firms such as IBM and HP love Linux because it removes OS costs from boxes such as firewalls and Web server appliances. With appliance makers able to take what they need and exclude what they don't, we see a Linux foundation for most computing appliances by 2005--and giants such as IBM, HP, and Dell will sell and support them.
- Trouble for Windows XP and Microsoft. With the current economic downturn in the United States, nearly every company is looking for a way to save costs--and few companies have an extra million dollars to spend on a wholesale Windows XP upgrade. Forrester predicts that Linux will displace nearly 15 percent of OS licensing revenues in the average company by 2004--mostly at the expense of Microsoft.
- More software developers. Today, nearly every university in the world is teaching operating system development using Linux. With that educational foundation, more developers by 2005 will know how to install, configure, and change Linux than any other operating system--and those developers will be the infrastructure buyers in corporations for the next 20 years. So the question isn't what Linux's future is; the question is rather what the future holds for Linux's competitors.
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